Will Facebook Ever Be Replaced?

by Dan Martell on Jul 29, 2010
Facebook

Internet start-ups don’t always enjoy a very long life span. Popular fads are created every day, and even though millions of people might be surfing over to the latest and greatest website this week doesn’t mean they won’t move on next week. Much to its credit, Facebook (which may not even qualify as a start-up any longer) has stood firm in the rapid river that is the modern social web and has grown into one of the most powerful web properties online. Could it be that Facebook has found a unique formula that protects them from obsolescence and makes it irreplaceable? We believe so, and today we explore several forces at work to keep Facebook at the forefront of our social-media minds for the foreseeable future.

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New Designs Always Prevail

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A common reason why popular Internet businesses fail is because they try to fix what isn’t broken. We have seen this familiar story play out with the once dominant social networking portal Myspace. Users enjoyed the overall look and feel of the original interface and appreciated the additional features, such as the profile music player, profile HTML customization. Unfortunately for Myspace, the designers continued to overhaul the interface, adding new features and making the entire experience feel different. Many users were shell shocked, feeling as though the Myspace they had gotten comfortable using was changing for the worst.

Facebook on the other hand has also overhauled their interface several times, but each time their popularity barely takes a hit. It isn’t as if the changes aren’t usually met with disdain; they are, and entire groups have formed protesting new Facebook interfaces. However the developers at Facebook truly understand their users, for despite early complaints, new features and designs are quickly accepted, and eventually beloved. The “News Feed” feature, for example, was once flamed as an unnecessary invasion of privacy, but has quickly become a centerpiece of the Facebook experience. So long as Facebook tweaks their design in ways that users can easily adjust to and find enjoyment in using, it is unlikely that advancements in their interface will lead to a mass exodus of users.

More Than A Hip Fad

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It may not be obvious as you update your status or comment on a friend’s picture, but Facebook is actually providing its users with a much-needed service rather than just a popular way to kill time. For many users, the website provides them with one place where they can digitally manage their entire offline life. The photo album features allows them to organize and display thousands of photographs, and even tag their friends as being in the picture with them. Facebook messaging has all but replaced email for young teens, and their chat feature is taking users away from traditional clients. Third party applications allows users to have fun, show off their musical tastes and play collaborative games between friends. Perhaps most important of all, the website brings together all of a user’s social connections, from classmates, to parents, to best friends, and allows them to keep up with everyone’s lives.

For all of its capability and utility to its users, Facebook can not be considered an Internet fad facing a quick burn out in popularity once the next “big thing” comes along. We must instead acknowledge it as a lively social hub through which users stay in touch with people they may otherwise lose contact with, a powerful statement of value that gives true testament to the staying power of this Internet giant.

The Application Market

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Since its inception, the Facebook Application market has exploded into a full-fledged business opportunity for thousands of Internet entrepreneurs. In a short time span, the open platform has created a veritable “Facebook economy” that is literally supporting entire start ups who collectively contribute dozens of new applications each day. Many such start ups have already made millions from the Facebook application market, and this opportunity does not look to be drying up any time soon.

Since these companies often find themselves competing for the limited number of users, they are consistently improving and developing breakthrough applications that serve to keep Facebook a fresh and exciting place for users to be. So long as there are users, there will be app developers to give them fun new tools, and so the cycle continues.

Marketing and Business Utility

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As Facebook has grown in popularity, marketers at companies both small and large have caught on to the value of its endless network of connections. Today, Facebook marketing (and social media marketing in general) is considered a serious skill that no company operating in the year 2010 should be without. This nascent marketing strategy is forcing advertisers to get personal with their customer base, since questions, comments and concerns can now be aimed directly at the page of the business.

Local businesses have especially found great utility in the event planning capability of Facebook. Using Facebook events, bars, clubs, and restaurants can announce live acts and events or specials on drinks and food. Customers can then RSVP on the event page, giving the establishment an approximate event size to prepare for.

Additionally, companies can announce product release dates to all of their fans on Facebook, creating buzz and driving sales directly from their page. Through the use of status updates and notes, companies have found ways to hype everyone who receives their updates up, making it an indispensable sales machine that would cause significant damage if it were to suddenly disappear.

  • http://twitter.com/mibi mibi

    I don't think Facebook will be replaced in that someone will do it better, like what FB did to MySpace, but I think a disruptive company could shift the lanscape enough to introduce irrelevance into FB, which would be the beginning of the end. Especially if Google can suck out some share in the gaming space.

  • http://www.mwd.com @JoeHobot

    Just like you said “like what FB did to MySpace” that can be done to FB too :) remember there is always something better…

    Cell phone industry now you would think can't go further than it is..just maybe faster..but in 2 years phones like iPhone 4, Droid X etc..are going to be shi*

  • http://www.flowtown.com Dan Martell

    So you don't think someone will replace Facebook, but you think someone will create a solution to make it obsolete?

    If Facebook is a tool that people use to share their lives with different people, then I think it'll be replaced.

  • Zombeegee

    So, instead of investigating what could be coming down the line you accept facebook as a media fixture. Prediction, facebook will become as irrelevant as this article already is.

  • http://siamtraffic.com m.y.

    Nice one!

  • http://twitter.com/chrissel Chris Sel

    Interesting article. Eventually anything can be replaced. Think AOL, Hotmail, Yahoo, Friendster, Myspace. With Facebook, it will happen but it will be very gradual based on demographics. The male 18-35 yrs will be the first ones to switch. This group is always looking for the next big thing. The female 18-35 usually may / will follow the male demographic. The demographic addicted to pointless quizzes, Farmville, Fishville, Carville etc will stay slightly longer.

    The last demographic to leave will be the 45 above age group. It took almost 4-5 years for them to get into Facebook and considering how they don't like changes, it will be hard for them to switch from Facebook. I mean, when was the last time your mom, dad, grandma, etc used a web service to share or view photos or comment on them? Unfortunately because of this particular demographic a lot of other demographic will stay longer. It is quite interesting how the older demographic, to a certain extend, will determine how long Facebook stays relevant. Like you said “We must instead acknowledge it as a lively social hub through which users stay in touch with people they may otherwise lose contact with…”

  • Nathan Lee

    Things change all the time and it makes me feel sad, but have to move on. I still like MySpace better than FaceBook and used both because most of my friends switched to FaceBook. I still use MySpace to promote my music.

    But what can beat FaceBook? How about a totally virtue world.

    Commented by Nathan Lee of http://networkmarketinglearningtools.com/

  • paggypow

    I stil lthink MySpace kicks it to the curb dude.

    http://www.real-privacy.at.tc

  • xBetancourt

    After 12 months a business stops being a startup.

  • Paulp

    Youtube, twitter, and Myspace are joining forces to become the worlds largest time wasting social network next month. Its called youtwitface!

  • http://www.dscardworld.com R4DS

    Or if you combine Youtube, Twitter, Myspace and Facebook…YouTwitMyFace.

  • http://www.techiemania.com Sathishvaratharaj

    So you telling me that Facebook can't be replaced. Everyone thinks in the same way about myspace. But Facebook did replace it. So i am not sure about this statement.

  • kn33ch41

    Yes, Facebook will be replaced. Do you have any idea how many satellites of people are working on social networks? The arms race is still on.

  • http://twitter.com/quixli Quixli

    Don't think facebook will be replaced for a long time. Currently having 500 million users and growing everyday. My prediction is that Facebook will be bigger than apple and microsoft in 2030.

  • http://mackx.myopenid.com/ Mack Nostrodamus

    one of the problems with facebook is the amount of junk messages that fill up your screen, such as annoying applications / quiz messages, also the endless stream of x became friends with y, x liked y, x took a dump, y scratched his nose. luckily this can be solved via third party software such as fb purity, without which many users would stop using facebook entirely, info about your friends is great, but one can have too much of a “good” thing http://www.fbpurity.com

  • scozzard

    lulz, facebook will be dead by 2030 mate. Sorry to break it to ya.

  • http://4talesa.com Rondinelli Fortalesa

    I doubt that. I think facebook will take more time to be replace because it changes when is necessary to became always a new thing.

  • cpf

    Do we really need to be remind on a second basis of everything that happened? Vote for real life mates!

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_ZAJ4BIZFTXEPDMZNINNTBCOC2Y WTF

    Why do we even need it? I refuse to use it.

  • http://www.strictlysocial.co.uk/ Strictly Social

    I currently struggle to see a time in which Facebook will be replaced. Granted, it has its downfalls, which have been largely covered in the media this year, but although it’s not the original social media platform, it might as well be considering how ubiquitous it’s become. Facebook is like a Hoover or a biro, the brand has become the product – you don’t have a social media page, you have a Facebook page. Whether you love it or hate it, it’s hard to deny its significant online presence. Facebook may or may not be replaced in the near future, but one thing is for sure, multiple other social media platforms will continue to try and capitalise on its success.

  • LancePollard

    @scozzard all things get surpased no matter what, that’s the universe. these kind of article titles are silly.

  • Fireviews

    Yes, it will be replaced by a service called Fireviews

  • RishiBandopadhay

    The picture used in this article has a creative commons copyright on it. Please be sure to credit the image, please.

    http://www.flickr.com/photos/rishibando/4660452869/

  • Robinson

    @Sathishvaratharaj You are correct, this universe has a rule that lets anything to go out of the usage after certain days.

  • XingWoo

    No way dude, Nothing can touch Facbook! No way no how.

    http://www.real-anonymity.es.tc

  • JMattHicks

    @XingWoo I’m gonna have to agree with that. I just don’t see anyone or anything ousting Facebook…at least not anytime soon. College students (like myself when I was in college) use Facebook religiously. For everything from social life to student organizations to even homework, Facebook is utilized. It’s been deeply embedded in collegiate life, the original purpose of it, and I just don’t see that changing anytime soon.

  • http://cultureslurp.com/2010/10/20/5-reasons-why-facebook-won-the-battle-of-the-social-networks/ cultureslurp

    Facebook has reached juggernaut status. Don’t think anyone can bring them down.

    In fact… 5 Reason Why Facebook Won the Battle of the Social Networks: http://cultureslurp.com/2010/10/20/5-reasons-why-facebook-won-the-battle-of-the-social-networks/

  • http://www.compass-mwd.com/ MWD Tools

    I think its not possible at all. thanks to share this interesting post with us.

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